Global Landscape of Risks

A workshop on the “Global Landscape of Risks” was held on 10 September 2013 in London as part of a collaboration between the University of Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies, and Munich Re’s Integrated Risk Management. Participants from the insurance industry included senior risk management practitioners from a number of different insurance companies, together with brokers, academics, modellers, and consultants.

The theme of the workshop was on how to achieve a systematic and comprehensive view of all major risks that insurers are facing. A better understanding of the global landscape of risks, its components and interactions represents a key challenge for the industry.

Examples of different approaches were presented and discussed, including a top-down, historical precedent approach taken by the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies to create a taxonomy of threats, and Munich Re’s “Complex accumulation” project which proposes a specific method for a structured collection of critical events and potential triggers and consequences.

The workshop provided an opportunity for working groups to discuss:

  1. the benefits and challenges of standardisation
  2. alternative approaches to identifying hidden scenarios, and
  3. benefits and limitations of collaboration across the insurance industry

The conclusions of the working groups included a recommendation that it would be helpful to standardise terminology and concepts, and that there could be benefits in a common framework for risk identification. There were strong perceived benefits in collaborating on risk identification and prioritisation. Data standards were another area of coordination benefits, with companies interested in agreeing ways of structuring information that might be exchanged or shared between interested parties, such as scenarios or exposure data schemas.

We received very positive feedback from the attendees of the meeting, with participants saying that they found the topics relevant, useful, and a good learning opportunity. There was strong support for continuing the dialogue and positive interest in attending future meetings on this topic.

As a result of this positive feedback, we propose to hold further insurance industry meetings, expanded to a wider audience if there is sufficient additional interest, to focus on collaboration in improving risk identification and categorisation, data structures, information interchange standards, and tools for evaluating and responding to emerging risks.

Agenda

Time

Session

12:00-12:45

Business lunch

12:45-13:00

Welcome
Tobias Klauß, Great Lakes Insurance

13:00-13:30

Background & objectives of the workshop
Rainer Sachs

13:30-14:00

Round of introductions and expectations to this workshop

14:00-14:30

Macro Threat Taxonomy: Trying to Define the Risk Landscape
Andrew Coburn and Danny Ralph

14:30-15:00

Coffee break & discussion

15:00-15:30

Identification of Risks Beyond the Macro Threats – A system-based approach
Markus Wadé

15:30-16:15

Parallel workshop sessions

  • What are benefits and limits of more standardisation in scenario development?
  • What are your experiences with alternative approaches to identify hidden scenarios?
  • Do we make use of existing data and expert knowledge efficiently? What are benefits and limits of collaboration in the industry?

16:15-16:45

Presentation & discussion of findings

16:45-17:00

Farewell / closing remarks
Rainer Sachs and Andrew Coburn

17:00-18:00

Get-together with a drink

Speakers

Tobias Klauß, Great Lakes Insurance

Dr Rainer Sachs, Group Accumulation and Emerging Risks, Munich Re

Professor Daniel Ralph, Academic Director, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies

Dr Andrew Coburn, Director of External Advisory Board, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies

Dr Markus Wadé, Munich Re


Pre-Reading Materials

Managing Complex Risks Successfully

Download slides (pdf, 428KB)

A Taxonomy of Threats for Macro-Catastrophe Risk Management

Download slides (pdf, 1.15MB)


Presentations

Background & objectives of the workshop

Dr Rainer Sachs, Group Accumulation and Emerging Risks, Munich Re
Download slides (pdf, 915KB)

Trying to Define the Risk Landscape

Dr Andrew Coburn, Director of External Advisory Board, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies
Download slides(pdf, 2.34MB)

Identification of Risks Beyond the Macro Threats – a system-based approach

Dr Markus Wadé, Munich Re
Download slides(pdf, 656KB)

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